COCOA
Turn higher with talk that virus may not be as bad as feared
Cocoa continues to deal with uncertain near-term demand prospects, but has received further indications of lower West African production this season. If the market can see a positive turnaround in global risk sentiment, cocoa can extend its recovery move.
COFFEE
Coffee was able to avoid downside follow-through from a negative weekly key reversal. Coffee’s net spec long position is very large and could give plenty of fuel for additional long liquidation if support levels are violated. Indications that global shipping container shortages are disrupting the flow of coffee imports to major consuming nations provided a boost to coffee prices.
COTTON
While only trading slightly higher on the day, the rally for cotton on Monday is impressive given the bearish outside market influences. A stronger dollar, weakness in the stock market and sluggish trade for energy prices were all seen as negative forces, but the market managed to see new buying interest.
SUGAR
While sugar has lost upside momentum, the market continues to hold up fairly well in spite of negative global risk sentiment and sluggish outside markets. With the 2021/22 sugar still on course for a global supply deficit, sugar should remain well supported on near-term pullbacks. Since reaching a 2 1/2 week high last Wednesday, sugar prices have held within a 35 tick trading range.
Risk Warning: Investments in Equities, Contracts for Difference (CFDs) in any instrument, Futures, Options, Derivatives and Foreign Exchange can fluctuate in value. Investors should therefore be aware that they may not realise the initial amount invested and may incur additional liabilities. These investments may be subject to above average financial risk of loss. Investors should consider their financial circumstances, investment experience and if it is appropriate to invest. If necessary, seek independent financial advice.
ADM Investor Services International Limited, registered in England No. 2547805, is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority [FRN 148474] and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Registered office: 3rd Floor, The Minster Building, 21 Mincing Lane, London EC3R 7AG.
A subsidiary of Archer Daniels Midland Company.
© 2021 ADM Investor Services International Limited.
Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM. The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared. The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets. However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.