COCOA
With West African supply issues and signs of improving demand, cocoa should see more strength. Following comments from a major chocolate maker, cocoa may be able to maintain upside momentum. The US confectioner Hershey reported better than expected quarterly earnings and revenue, and also raised their guidance for their upcoming quarter.
COFFEE
Coffee’s first 3-session winning streak since mid-December has lifted prices to within striking distance of new 8-week highs. ICE exchange coffee stocks fell 16,101 bags on Thursday and are more than 153,000 bags (down 11.9%) below last Friday’s total. Although warehouse coffee supplies in Europe and North America have been dropping since the start of 2021’s fourth quarter, their rapid decline this week points towards tightening near-term supply in major consuming nations.
COTTON
The strong export news plus bullish outside market forces should support more buying. The dollar was sharply lower, which is a supportive factor to export commodities like cotton. Crude oil was higher, with the nearby contract trading to its highest level since 2014, which is also supportive to cotton. However, the stock market was lower which was a bit of an offset.
SUGAR
With key outside markets and global risk sentiment taking a positive shift late yesterday, sugar may see a recovery bounce. Forecasts for rain over Brazil’s major cane-growing regions and a mild pullback in the Brazilian currency weighed on sugar prices early yesterday. Simmering Ukraine/Russian tensions have underpinned energy prices which in turn are a source of carryover support to sugar.
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