Explore Special Offers & White Papers from ADMIS

Big Jump in Cotton Plantings

COCOA

Cocoa prices have seen their first 2-session losing streak since late January and have fallen more than 100 points below last Thursday’s multi-year high. While demand prospects remain an area of concern, cocoa still has bullish supply developments can help the market find its footing. A sharp selloff in European equity markets and a pullback in the Eurocurrency weighed on cocoa prices as they may weaken European near-term demand prospects.

COFFEE

Coffee’s near-term correction took prices more than 15.00 cents below last Thursday’s high before the market found its footing. With volatile global risk sentiment weighing on many commodity markets this week, coffee may be vulnerable to further downside price action. Rainfall over major Brazilian Arabica-growing regions weighed on the coffee market as that is expected to benefit their upcoming crop.

COTTON

The market looks vulnerable to further downside action over the near term after Friday’s close below the key uptrend channel. News from the National Cotton Council planting intentions survey which was released Sunday showed that US farmers are expected to plant near 12 million acres for the new crop season, up about 7.3% from a year ago. This, along with the overbought condition of the market would suggest that at least a significant correction is in order.

SUGAR

Sugar has been unable to benefit from the recent strength of its key outside markets as the market has been unable to lift decisively clear of its January and February lows. As a result, sugar may need to find fresh bullish supply/demand news in order to sustain a bounce. Strength in energy prices and the Brazilian currency provided sugar with early carryover support, as that combination should encourage Brazil’s Center-South mills to shift more of their crushing from sugar production to ethanol production.

Risk Warning: Investments in Equities, Contracts for Difference (CFDs) in any instrument, Futures, Options, Derivatives and Foreign Exchange can fluctuate in value. Investors should therefore be aware that they may not realise the initial amount invested and may incur additional liabilities. These investments may be subject to above average financial risk of loss. Investors should consider their financial circumstances, investment experience and if it is appropriate to invest. If necessary, seek independent financial advice.

ADM Investor Services International Limited, registered in England No. 2547805, is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority [FRN 148474] and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Registered office: 3rd Floor, The Minster Building, 21 Mincing Lane, London EC3R 7AG.                  

A subsidiary of Archer Daniels Midland Company.

© 2021 ADM Investor Services International Limited.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

Latest News & Market Commentary

Explore Special Offers & White Papers from ADMIS

Get Started