Energies Markets Lower
We continue to think the crude oil market remains vulnerable to macroeconomic corrective action, and perhaps to less supportive supply-side developments. On the other hand, the EIA has predicted that US shale oil output will fall to a 2 year low of only 7.5 million barrels per day in August as that refutes recent private forecasts that US production declines have leveled out.
With China indicating they will be unlikely to meet phase 1 demand for US gas imports, the charts remaining negative and European weather turning cooler, the bear camp has probably regained the edge. However, the market should see some cushion from what continues to be a generally above normal temperature pattern in roughly one-third of the US out to July 27th. However, the bear camp continues to embrace evidence of higher US production and that reverses views in late June and early July that lower-48 state US gas production would continue to decline.
Risk Warning: Investments in Equities, Contracts for Difference (CFDs) in any instrument, Futures, Options, Derivatives and Foreign Exchange can fluctuate in value. Investors should therefore be aware that they may not realise the initial amount invested and may incur additional liabilities. These investments may be subject to above average financial risk of loss. Investors should consider their financial circumstances, investment experience and if it is appropriate to invest. If necessary, seek independent financial advice.
ADM Investor Services International Limited, registered in England No. 2547805, is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority [FRN 148474] and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Registered office: 3rd Floor, The Minster Building, 21 Mincing Lane, London EC3R 7AG.
A subsidiary of Archer Daniels Midland Company.
© 2021 ADM Investor Services International Limited.
Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM. The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared. The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets. However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.