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Indices Higher Despite Bearish PPI Report

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STOCK INDEX FUTURES

Futures are higher despite the larger than, and bearish, producer price index report.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is set to begin two days of testimony on Capitol Hill, where he will deliver his semiannual report on the state of the economy to Congress.

Mr. Powell’s testimony will begin at 11:00 central time.

Mortgage applications increased 16% the week ended July 9. Applications to refinance a home loan were up 20.4% and those to purchase a home increased 8.3%.

The June PPI final index increased 1.0% when up 0.6% was anticipated.

The Atlanta Fed’s business inflation expectations survey for July will be released at 9:00. In June the figure was 3.0%.

It is a sign of strength for stock index futures to be so strong after a bearish PPI report.

CURRENCY FUTURES

The U.S. dollar index is lower despite the bullish PPI report, which is a sign of weakness.

Industrial production in the euro area fell 1.0% month-to-month in May, which is the first drop in three months and much worse than market forecasts of a 0.2% decline.

The annual inflation rate in the U.K. increased to 2.5% in June from 2.1% in May, which is above market forecasts of 2.2%. This is the highest inflation rate since August of 2018.

INTEREST RATE MARKET FUTURES

At 1:00 the Federal Open Market committee will release its “Beige Book” on the economy . This book is produced approximately two weeks before the monetary policy meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee. On each occasion, a different Federal Reserve district bank compiles anecdotal evidence on economic conditions from each of the 12 Federal Reserve districts.

In addition to Fed Chair Powell, Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve will speak at 12:30.

It is a sign of strength for futures, especially the 30-year Treasury bond futures, to be so strong after a bearish PPI report.

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Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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