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Q2 US GDP Contracts 0.6%


U.S. stock index futures fell as bond yields resumed their climb.

The third estimate of the second quarter gross domestic product was down 0.6% as expected.

In addition, there are worries of a global economic downturn from aggressive interest rate hikes from central banks and risks of a potential contagion from a turmoil in U.K. financial markets.

Jobless claims in the week ended September 24 were 193,000 when 218,000 were anticipated.


The U.S. dollar index advanced to a new 20-year high yesterday.

Interest rate differential expectations remain bullish for the greenback long term.

The euro currency is lower on news that the economic sentiment indicator in the euro area fell 3.6 points from a month earlier to 93.7 in September 2022, which is the lowest level since November 2020 and below market expectations of 95.0.

Annual inflation in Germany, as measured by the consumer price index climbed to 10.0% in September from 7.9% in August. This compares to the market expectation of 9.4%.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported its monthly indicator of consumer prices rose 6.8% in August from a year earlier. That was down from 7.0% in July.


The bond-buying plan in the U.K. announced yesterday sparked a rebound in the interest rate market futures yesterday. However, some of those gains are being given back today.

Some economists have begun to advocate for accepting a higher inflation target somewhere in the 3.0% or 4.0% range in order to avoid a severe downturn in the economy.

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic yesterday said he backs raising rates by a further 1.25 percentage points to 4.25%-4.50% by year end.

Federal Reserve speakers today are Loretta Mester at 12:00 and Mary Daly at 3:45.

According to financial futures markets, there is a 38.8% probability that the Federal Open Market Committee will hike its fed funds rate by 50 basis points and a 61.2% probability that the rate will increase by 75 basis points at the November 2 policy meeting.

The inverted Treasury yield curve continues to warn of economic risks ahead.

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