Written Commentary
Morning Livestock Outlook
Last week Boxed Beef compared to the previous week was down $4.03 on Choice and Select was down $3.98. Compared to the previous week slaughter was down 7000 head and compared to the same week a year ago slaughter was down 5000 head.
If heat over next week doesn’t move weights lower, then the back up of cattle is still around. Across southwest and Midwest many areas have temperatures in high 90’s with indexes above 100 and the next 3 to 4 days are going to be higher heat indexes.
Friday’s futures trading was low volume. Cash markets were over for the most part Thursday.
For the week, the pork carcass cutout was up $3.00. Loins improved by $4.89 and hams were up $7.67. Butts , ribs and bellies were lower and picnics were higher.
Slaughter down from a week ago by 75,000 head. There are packers slowing down as more employees testing positive with coronavirus. Brazil has COVID 19 slowing plants. It is likely could see pork prices improve with less global meat, and hog prices drop if packers can’t kill available inventory.
Exports were strong with Mexico the biggest buyer which is not a surprise with hams and fresh bellies moving up. Mexico has for years been one of the best buyers of hams and bellies where they are trimmed out. China is buying but far from the large loads it took the first quarter.
Risk Warning: Investments in Equities, Contracts for Difference (CFDs) in any instrument, Futures, Options, Derivatives and Foreign Exchange can fluctuate in value. Investors should therefore be aware that they may not realise the initial amount invested and may incur additional liabilities. These investments may be subject to above average financial risk of loss. Investors should consider their financial circumstances, investment experience and if it is appropriate to invest. If necessary, seek independent financial advice.
ADM Investor Services International Limited, registered in England No. 2547805, is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority [FRN 148474] and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Registered office: 3rd Floor, The Minster Building, 21 Mincing Lane, London EC3R 7AG.
A subsidiary of Archer Daniels Midland Company.
© 2021 ADM Investor Services International Limited.
Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM. The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared. The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets. However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.
